点击选择搜索分类
首页 - 影视- 正文
☆☆☆☆☆
||
Annie Duke & 著
店铺: 澜瑞外文Lanree图书专营店 出版社: Portfolio ISBN:9780735216358 商品编码:25274727564 包装:精装 外文名称:Thinking in Bets- Maki... 出版时间:2018-02-06 页数:288 正文语种:英语
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... 电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D...-so88
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2022
图书介绍
☆☆☆☆☆
||
Annie Duke & 著
店铺: 澜瑞外文Lanree图书专营店 出版社: Portfolio ISBN:9780735216358 商品编码:25274727564 包装:精装 外文名称:Thinking in Bets- Maki... 出版时间:2018-02-06 页数:288 正文语种:英语
图书基本信息
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
作者: Annie Duke;
ISBN13: 9780735216358
类型: 精装(精装书)
语种: 英语(English)
出版日期: 2018-02-06
出版社: Portfolio
页数: 288
重量(克): 453
尺寸: 20.574 x 13.97 x 2.794 cm
商品简介
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... 电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt
电子书下载地址:
相关电子书推荐:
- 文件名
- BF-分子-牛津通识读本-菲利普·鲍尔 译林出版社 9787544765473
- 摄影师的后期课 Lightroom后期技法篇 摄影 书籍
- 男神在左女神在右
- 图说山东 山东运河
- 男孩世界-风靡世界的英国儿童创意涂鸦-儿童减压涂色书
- 大家小书 经典常谈(精装)
- NEW物理启蒙我们的看听触感(共4册)/科学启蒙探索研究系列
- 摄影:超人气作品这样拍
- BF-用物理思考世界-美国中学生课外读物-(美)甘德森,李哲 上海科学技术文献出版社 97
- 中国地理标志产品大典(安徽卷1) 9787502641719 安徽省质量技术监督局,国家质
- 嗨!元素 奇幻旅程
- 流光溢彩的中华民俗文化(彩图版)《白蛇传传说》
- 探秘百科 无限探索版:辉煌的古罗马
- 问道 弦外清音 9787561394533
- 正版 中国地理知识百科(全4册) 9787553412658 陈君慧著 吉林出版集团有限责