点击选择搜索分类
首页 - 收藏鉴赏- 正文
☆☆☆☆☆
||
Annie Duke & 著
店铺: 澜瑞外文Lanree图书专营店 出版社: Portfolio ISBN:9780735216358 商品编码:25274727564 包装:精装 外文名称:Thinking in Bets- Maki... 出版时间:2018-02-06 页数:288 正文语种:英语
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... 电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D...-so88
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2022
图书介绍
☆☆☆☆☆
||
Annie Duke & 著
店铺: 澜瑞外文Lanree图书专营店 出版社: Portfolio ISBN:9780735216358 商品编码:25274727564 包装:精装 外文名称:Thinking in Bets- Maki... 出版时间:2018-02-06 页数:288 正文语种:英语
图书基本信息
像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
作者: Annie Duke;
ISBN13: 9780735216358
类型: 精装(精装书)
语种: 英语(English)
出版日期: 2018-02-06
出版社: Portfolio
页数: 288
重量(克): 453
尺寸: 20.574 x 13.97 x 2.794 cm
商品简介
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.像打牌一样思考 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter D... 电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt
电子书下载地址:
相关电子书推荐:
- 文件名
- 诺贝尔文学奖获奖者的故事 9787518609185
- 新号外 壹 写在新闻纸背面 9787513304054
- 暴力解剖:犯罪的生物学根源 9787229110796
- Star Wars: Jedi Academy [平装] [8-12岁] [星球大战:绝地学院]
- 域外博物馆印象 9787504679710 徐善衍,徐善衍-RT
- 斯堪的纳维亚生活影像——瑞典人 9787532132850
- 揭开古文明未解之谜 科普读物 书籍
- The Omnivore's Dilemma杂食者的困境 英文原版 [平装]
- 生态文明新论/生态文明决策者X读丛书 卢风
- My First Toolbox
- {RT}武经总要前集-(宋)曾公亮 湖南科技出版社 9787535789754
- 正版 中国传统记忆丛书:图说老节俗 9787548822059 矫友田 济南出版社
- 羚牛的故事(绿野寻踪) 9787503888939 雍严格,孙晋强;蒲春举 摄影-RT
- 【中商原版】 【新加坡数学教材】Targeting Mathematics 3A&3B 级别三 3B Textbook 学生书
- 你该怎么办—校园生活与日常安全(护眼大字版) 9787500269397 李澍晔 刘燕华-